Friday: Heat intensifies across Central and South Texas
The Memorial Day weekend begins on a hot and mostly dry note across Texas. If you’re planning to hit the road or get an early start on holiday activities this Friday, you’ll likely have smooth conditions. Rain chances stay under 10% in most areas, with only a slight 20% risk of isolated storms brushing through West Texas.
Daytime highs will rise well into the 90s Fahrenheit (32–37°C) across Central and South Texas, while North Texas should see milder conditions in the upper 80s (31°C). Despite the heat, most areas should remain under the 100°F (38°C) threshold.
Saturday: Scorching sun and rising humidity
Saturday maintains the dry trend, making it ideal for travel or outdoor gatherings. However, temperatures will climb even higher, particularly across South and Central Texas, where many locations may flirt with or exceed 100°F (38°C). The humidity will also ramp up, pushing heat index values into the triple digits across a broad swath of the state.
Expect humid and oppressive conditions, especially in metro areas like Austin, San Antonio, and the Hill Country, where outdoor comfort will diminish as the day progresses.
Sunday: Storm chances grow, especially in North Texas
By Sunday, the weather pattern becomes more volatile. North Texas, including the Dallas-Fort Worth metroplex, faces a 50% chance of thunderstorms. This part of the state lies directly in the path of developing instability, making it the most at risk for severe weather.
Farther south, cities like San Antonio could also see storm activity, albeit with a lower 20-30% chance during the evening. Although a widespread outbreak isn’t expected, the moisture-rich air and unstable atmosphere could generate large hail and damaging wind gusts.
Monday: Memorial Day brings cooler temps and scattered storms
On Memorial Day itself, a cold front sweeping across the state will shift the focus southward. Central and South Texas, including the San Antonio area, can expect a 50% storm chance by late afternoon or evening.
While the day likely starts out mostly dry, stronger thunderstorms may develop later, posing threats of hail and heavy rainfall. This front will also cool things down, with highs falling into the upper 80s to low 90s (31–33°C) in South and Central Texas, and even upper 70s (25°C) in North Texas.
Stay aware of evolving forecasts, especially as we approach Sunday and Monday, when storm timing and intensity will become clearer.
