A hotter-than-average season expected across New York State
According to the latest seasonal outlooks, summer 2025 is shaping up to be particularly hot across New York State, continuing a recent trend of unusually warm summers. Experts from the National Weather Service and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) predict that temperatures from June through August will trend above average across most of the state. More precisely, there’s a 50 to 60% chance that temperatures will rise above normal throughout New York, with slightly lower odds (40 to 50%) along the far western edge.
While large portions of the United States are expected to face drought, NOAA notes there’s a 33 to 40% chance that New York could see above-average rainfall, particularly in the northern and western regions.
Old Farmer’s Almanac: “Shaping up to be a doozy”
The Old Farmer’s Almanac, known for its long-range forecasts, also projects a blazing hot summer for New York. Most of the state is expected to experience a hot and dry season, while Western New York and the far northern reaches of the Adirondacks could see a hot but wetter pattern.
The Weather Channel: Above-average heat from June through August
The Weather Channel echoes those predictions, forecasting above-normal temperatures across June, July, and August in New York. Rainfall is also expected to be slightly above average, potentially softening the blow of the relentless heat.
However, there may be some small relief: The channel noted that the Northeast and Southwest aren’t expected to be as hot as summer 2024, suggesting slightly less extreme conditions than last year—though still well above normal.
AccuWeather: Hotter days, rising energy bills
AccuWeather warns of a sweltering season ahead. Senior meteorologist and content editor Brian Lada reports that temperatures this summer will likely be 1 to 2 degrees Fahrenheit (about 0.5–1.1°C) above historical averages.
That means millions of households could be facing higher utility bills as they rely more heavily on air conditioning, fans, and other cooling systems to beat the heat.
A long and hot summer: meteorological vs. astronomical start
The meteorological summer officially begins today, June 1, and runs through August 31. Astronomical summer, marked by the summer solstice, starts June 20 and ends September 21.
With these forecasts in mind, New York is bracing for a season of persistent heat, intense humidity, and in some regions, frequent storms—a pattern that’s becoming increasingly familiar across the Empire State.
