Unprecedented flooding strikes Jay and Mount Carmel
Santa Rosa County, in the Florida Panhandle, has just experienced one of the most intense rainfall events in its recorded history. According to the National Weather Service (NWS), the flash flood that struck Jay and Mount Carmel late Sunday night is the kind of meteorological occurrence seen only once every 50 to 100 years.
This deluge dropped an astonishing 9.25 inches (235 mm) of rain in just six hours near Jay, as captured by a University of South Alabama mesonet station. Meanwhile, a Citizen Weather Observing Program site logged 8.26 inches (210 mm) for the same period — figures that suggest historic saturation levels across the region.
Critical roads washed out and rivers overwhelmed
In northwestern Santa Rosa County, key roads such as Ebenezer Church Road, between Dykestown Road and Ebenezer Church, suffered major washouts, rendering parts of the area impassable. The flash flood guidance model used by meteorologists highlighted how unusual this rain event was, with localized recurrence intervals estimated at once every 50–75 years, and in some zones, once every 100 years.
As rainwater surged southward, flooding intensified along the West Fork Big Coldwater Creek, Big Coldwater Creek, and down into the Escambia River near Century, reaching critical levels shortly after 3:45 a.m. on Monday.
Storm winds cause damage and outages
Adding to the hardship, strong gusts accompanying the storms toppled trees, as reported by the Jay Volunteer Fire Department. These winds also knocked out power in isolated areas, compounding the disruption already caused by floodwaters.
This early June weather emergency places Santa Rosa County under heightened alert as authorities and meteorologists alike assess the impact of this rare and severe rainfall event.


