Hot days ahead for Los Angeles, but not record-breaking
This week’s heat in Southern California is intense, but the region has narrowly avoided a more severe heat wave that had been projected earlier. Forecast models from last week initially painted a much hotter scenario, with extreme temperatures threatening to push deep into the triple digits. However, over the weekend, meteorological patterns shifted, and now the expected highs have moderated slightly.
Highs near 100 °F (38 °C), but not as extreme as feared
According to the National Weather Service, most of Los Angeles will see daytime highs in the 90s °F (32–37 °C) through Friday, though localized peaks in places like Woodland Hills may graze 100 °F (38 °C). Earlier forecasts had predicted 103 °F (39.5 °C) in those same regions.
Kristan Lund, a meteorologist with the NWS, attributes this downshift in projected heat to slight changes in atmospheric conditions, including more cloud cover and a weaker offshore flow. These subtle factors are enough to alter peak temperatures by a few degrees — a difference that determines whether or not heat advisories are issued.
A heat advisory is currently in effect for much of the Southland from 11 a.m. Wednesday to 9 p.m. Thursday. However, some areas — including downtown Los Angeles — may later be excluded as updated forecasts clarify.
Still unusually hot for May
While not breaking records, this heat is significantly above seasonal norms. For reference, the average high in downtown L.A. for mid to late May usually hovers in the mid-70s °F (around 24 °C). This week’s projections mark a notable departure from that standard.
Fire danger elevated as heat pairs with dryness and wind
The combination of heat, low humidity, and strong winds has prompted an elevated fire risk warning. Humidity levels in inland valleys are expected to plunge to as low as 8% by Wednesday, with gusty winds intensifying the threat.
Expect wind gusts between 30 to 45 mph across mountainous and hilly terrain, especially in regions like the Antelope Valley and the Santa Susana Mountains. While these gusts may ease by Thursday, the residual dryness and elevated temperatures will continue to pose risks, particularly for fire-prone areas.
Stay alert as forecast conditions may continue to evolve throughout the week.
