Hotter-than-average conditions expected statewide
NEW YORK, May 31, 2025 — Get ready for a sizzling summer across New York State, as forecasters are warning that Summer 2025 could be even hotter than last year. Multiple sources—including the National Weather Service, NOAA, The Old Farmer’s Almanac, The Weather Channel, and AccuWeather—have issued alarming projections: temperatures are expected to remain consistently above average across June, July and August.
National Weather Service and NOAA: Heat trend holds strong
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration indicates a 50–60% chance of above-normal temperatures across most of New York, except for Western New York, where the probability slightly tapers to 40–50%. While most of the country will grapple with drought conditions, New York might be spared, with a 33–40% chance of higher-than-usual rainfall, particularly upstate.
That said, forecasters at NOAA describe the entire contiguous United States, including New York, as expected to “lean warm all summer.”
Old Farmer’s Almanac: A dry burn for most, rain to the north
According to the Old Farmer’s Almanac, which has issued weather predictions since 1792, Summer 2025 is “shaping up to be a doozy.” Most of New York is projected to experience a hot and dry summer, with Western New York and northern parts of the Adirondacks likely to see a hot but wetter season.
Their seasonal map outlines sharply different conditions within the state itself: from dry heat in Central and Southern New York to humid storms near the Canadian border.
The Weather Channel: Summer won’t be cooler than 2024, but not worse
The Weather Channel supports the broader consensus of a hot summer, emphasizing above-average temperatures from June through August. However, it offers a slight silver lining: “The East is not expected to be as hot as a year ago.” Still, New Yorkers should expect a series of 90°F+ (32°C+) days, along with slightly higher-than-average rainfall, especially in July.
AccuWeather: Prepare for energy spikes and AC overload
AccuWeather warns that sweltering heat will push millions of residents to crank up cooling systems, potentially leading to spiked energy bills. Meteorologist Brian Lada noted that temperatures will likely average 1–2°F (0.5–1°C) above the historical norm. While this may sound modest, even small deviations sustained over weeks can intensify discomfort, heat-related illnesses, and power grid strain.
With the first day of meteorological summer arriving on June 1, and astronomical summer beginning June 20, New Yorkers should prepare for a long, intense season of heat. From Brooklyn to Buffalo, the Empire State is heading into another hot chapter in its weather history.
