{"id":2905,"date":"2025-05-25T13:32:21","date_gmt":"2025-05-25T17:32:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/us.weatheramerica.com\/?p=2905"},"modified":"2025-06-27T04:15:32","modified_gmt":"2025-06-27T08:15:32","slug":"weather-alvin-tropical-threat-grows-off-the-pacific-coast","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/2025\/05\/25\/weather-alvin-tropical-threat-grows-off-the-pacific-coast\/","title":{"rendered":"Weather Alvin: tropical threat grows off the Pacific coast"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-2906\" src=\"http:\/\/us.weatheramerica.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/05\/pacific-ocean-4430530_1280.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1280\" height=\"853\" srcset=\"https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/05\/pacific-ocean-4430530_1280.jpg 1280w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/05\/pacific-ocean-4430530_1280-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/05\/pacific-ocean-4430530_1280-330x220.jpg 330w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/05\/pacific-ocean-4430530_1280-420x280.jpg 420w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/05\/pacific-ocean-4430530_1280-615x410.jpg 615w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/05\/pacific-ocean-4430530_1280-860x573.jpg 860w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/05\/pacific-ocean-4430530_1280-219x146.jpg 219w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1280px) 100vw, 1280px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>As of <strong>Saturday, May 24<\/strong>, a <strong>low-pressure system<\/strong> off the <strong>southern Pacific coast of Mexico<\/strong> holds an <strong>80% chance<\/strong> of forming into a <strong>tropical cyclone<\/strong> within the next <strong>seven days<\/strong>, according to the <strong>National Water Commission (Conagua)<\/strong>. If this system strengthens, it will be named <strong>Alvin<\/strong>, marking the <strong>first tropical cyclone of the 2025 Pacific hurricane season<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Key impact zones: Michoac\u00e1n, Guerrero and Oaxaca<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>This potential tropical system is developing <strong>south of Michoac\u00e1n, Guerrero and Oaxaca<\/strong>, where <strong>ocean conditions<\/strong> and <strong>atmospheric dynamics<\/strong> are currently favorable for <strong>cyclonic formation<\/strong>. If the system evolves, it could bring <strong>heavy rain<\/strong>, <strong>gusty winds<\/strong>, and <strong>dangerous surf conditions<\/strong> to coastal and inland communities in <strong>southern Mexico<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Broader cyclone forecast for 2025<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Conagua projects a <strong>highly active season<\/strong> in the <strong>Pacific Ocean<\/strong>, with:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>8 to 9 tropical storms<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>4 to 5 hurricanes<\/strong> reaching <strong>Category 1 or 2<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>4 to 6 major hurricanes<\/strong>, classified as <strong>Category 3, 4 or 5<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Meanwhile, the <strong>Atlantic basin<\/strong> is also expected to see:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>7 to 9 tropical storms<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>3 to 4 Category 1 or 2 hurricanes<\/strong><\/li>\n<li>Several <strong>major hurricanes<\/strong>, ranging up to <strong>Category 5<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>What is a tropical cyclone?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>A <strong>tropical cyclone<\/strong> is a <strong>powerful atmospheric system<\/strong> defined by <strong>rapidly rotating winds<\/strong> around a <strong>central low-pressure core<\/strong>. In the <strong>Northern Hemisphere<\/strong>, these winds rotate <strong>counterclockwise<\/strong>, while in the <strong>Southern Hemisphere<\/strong>, they turn <strong>clockwise<\/strong>. Cyclones are categorized based on wind intensity into:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Tropical depressions<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Tropical storms<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Hurricanes<\/strong> (when winds reach higher thresholds)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Every hurricane is a tropical cyclone, but not all tropical cyclones become hurricanes.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Rainfall forecast: heavy precipitation across southern and central Mexico<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The <strong>National Meteorological Service (SMN)<\/strong> expects <strong>intense rainfall<\/strong> in <strong>Oaxaca<\/strong> and <strong>Chiapas<\/strong>, <strong>very heavy showers<\/strong> in <strong>Guerrero<\/strong> and <strong>Veracruz<\/strong>, and <strong>strong storms<\/strong> across:<\/p>\n<p><strong>Coahuila, Jalisco, Michoac\u00e1n, Estado de M\u00e9xico, Morelos, Puebla, Tlaxcala and Tabasco<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Lighter <strong>showers<\/strong> are forecasted in:<\/p>\n<p><strong>Chihuahua, Nuevo Le\u00f3n, Tamaulipas, San Luis Potos\u00ed, Zacatecas, Durango, Aguascalientes, Colima, Guanajuato, Quer\u00e9taro, Hidalgo and Mexico City<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>These <strong>precipitation events<\/strong> may be accompanied by <strong>lightning<\/strong>, <strong>hail<\/strong>, and can lead to <strong>flooding<\/strong>, <strong>mudslides<\/strong>, and <strong>rising river levels<\/strong> in vulnerable areas.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Extreme heat persists in parts of Mexico<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Simultaneously, a <strong>heatwave<\/strong> continues to affect <strong>Sinaloa, Nayarit, Jalisco, Colima, Michoac\u00e1n, Guerrero<\/strong> and <strong>Oaxaca<\/strong>. <strong>Scorching temperatures<\/strong> are also anticipated in <strong>Chiapas, Coahuila, Durango and Campeche<\/strong>, pushing daytime highs well into the <strong>upper 90s and 100s \u00b0F<\/strong> (<strong>above 38 \u00b0C<\/strong>), with <strong>localized heat indices<\/strong> reaching even higher.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As of Saturday, May 24, a low-pressure system off the southern Pacific coast of Mexico holds an 80% chance of forming into a tropical cyclone within the next seven days, according to the National Water Commission (Conagua). If this system strengthens, it will be named Alvin, marking the first tropical cyclone of the 2025 Pacific [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":2906,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2905","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-news"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Weather Alvin: tropical threat grows off the Pacific coast - United States - Weather America<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/2025\/05\/25\/weather-alvin-tropical-threat-grows-off-the-pacific-coast\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Weather Alvin: tropical threat grows off the Pacific coast - United States - Weather America\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"As of Saturday, May 24, a low-pressure system off the southern Pacific coast of Mexico holds an 80% chance of forming into a tropical cyclone within the next seven days, according to the National Water Commission (Conagua). 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