{"id":3485,"date":"2025-06-03T07:45:06","date_gmt":"2025-06-03T11:45:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/us.weatheramerica.com\/?p=3485"},"modified":"2025-06-27T04:15:11","modified_gmt":"2025-06-27T08:15:11","slug":"weather-minnesota-severe-storms-likely-in-southwest-monday","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/2025\/06\/03\/weather-minnesota-severe-storms-likely-in-southwest-monday\/","title":{"rendered":"Weather Minnesota: Severe storms likely in southwest Monday"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-3486\" src=\"http:\/\/us.weatheramerica.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/06\/thunderstorms-in-Minnesota_0306.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2121\" height=\"1414\" srcset=\"https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/06\/thunderstorms-in-Minnesota_0306.jpg 2121w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/06\/thunderstorms-in-Minnesota_0306-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/06\/thunderstorms-in-Minnesota_0306-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/06\/thunderstorms-in-Minnesota_0306-2048x1365.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/06\/thunderstorms-in-Minnesota_0306-330x220.jpg 330w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/06\/thunderstorms-in-Minnesota_0306-420x280.jpg 420w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/06\/thunderstorms-in-Minnesota_0306-615x410.jpg 615w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/06\/thunderstorms-in-Minnesota_0306-860x573.jpg 860w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/06\/thunderstorms-in-Minnesota_0306-219x146.jpg 219w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2121px) 100vw, 2121px\" \/><\/p>\n<h3><strong>Severe storm risk highest in southwestern Minnesota<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>On <strong>Monday afternoon, June 2<\/strong>, <strong>southwestern Minnesota<\/strong> faces the <strong>highest risk<\/strong> for <strong>severe thunderstorms<\/strong>, with <strong>storm activity beginning early in the afternoon<\/strong>. According to the <strong>Storm Prediction Center (SPC)<\/strong> and the <strong>National Weather Service (NWS) Twin Cities<\/strong>, conditions will support <strong>intense storm development<\/strong> especially along the <strong>Minnesota\u2013South Dakota border<\/strong> and into <strong>northwestern Iowa<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Temperatures will climb into the <strong>upper 80s to low 90s (31\u201333\u00b0C)<\/strong>, especially from <strong>central Minnesota<\/strong> southward through <strong>Nebraska<\/strong>, and will combine with <strong>dew points in the upper 50s to mid 60s (14\u201318\u00b0C)<\/strong>. This combination will destabilize the atmosphere significantly, particularly in <strong>southwestern Minnesota<\/strong>, promoting <strong>vigorous convective activity<\/strong> as a <strong>cold front<\/strong> advances eastward.<\/p>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3><strong>What about the Twin Cities and eastern Minnesota?<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>Despite the afternoon heat, the <strong>airmass east of the Mississippi<\/strong>, including <strong>eastern Minnesota<\/strong> and <strong>western Wisconsin<\/strong>, will have <strong>less available energy (CAPE)<\/strong> for thunderstorm intensity. This means that by the time storms reach areas such as the <strong>Twin Cities<\/strong> and <strong>Rochester<\/strong>, they are <strong>expected to weaken<\/strong>, likely transitioning into <strong>steady rain<\/strong> rather than continuing as severe storms.<\/p>\n<p>The <strong>NWS Twin Cities<\/strong> described the <strong>severe weather potential<\/strong> in this region as &#8220;<strong>nearly null<\/strong>,&#8221; emphasizing that the <strong>strongest low-level convergence<\/strong> and <strong>best instability<\/strong> will remain <strong>well west of the metro area<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3><strong>What is an anafront and why does it matter?<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>These storms are expected to form along what\u2019s called an <strong>\u201canafrontal\u201d system<\/strong>. Unlike typical cold fronts where precipitation falls <strong>ahead of the boundary<\/strong>, an <strong>anafront<\/strong> is characterized by <strong>clouds and rain that form along and even behind the front<\/strong>. This setup allows for <strong>continued rainfall even after the initial storms have passed<\/strong>, which means <strong>showers are likely to persist into Tuesday<\/strong>, especially in <strong>southeastern Minnesota<\/strong>, including the <strong>Twin Cities<\/strong> and <strong>Rochester<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3><strong>Timing and development: When storms could hit<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>The <strong>HRRR high-resolution model<\/strong> suggests that <strong>initial storm formation will begin as early as 2\u20133 p.m.<\/strong>, developing over <strong>western and central Minnesota<\/strong>, particularly where <strong>low-level convergence<\/strong> is strongest. Additional activity may emerge to the <strong>southwest<\/strong>, near <strong>the Nebraska border<\/strong>, and then track eastward.<\/p>\n<p>By <strong>4 p.m.<\/strong>, model data show <strong>low CAPE values around the Twin Cities<\/strong>, suggesting that <strong>any storms that do reach the metro area<\/strong> will have <strong>limited severity<\/strong> and likely <strong>transition into moderate rain<\/strong>. Rainfall could become <strong>steady overnight into Tuesday<\/strong>, keeping <strong>eastern Minnesota<\/strong> under <strong>cloudy and wet conditions<\/strong> into the next day.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Key areas to watch closely:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>High risk:<\/strong> <strong>Southwestern Minnesota<\/strong> from the <strong>South Dakota<\/strong> and <strong>Iowa<\/strong> borders north to the <strong>Canadian border<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Low risk:<\/strong> <strong>Twin Cities<\/strong>, <strong>Rochester<\/strong>, <strong>eastern Minnesota<\/strong>, and <strong>western Wisconsin<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Storm initiation time:<\/strong> As early as <strong>2 p.m. CDT<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Weather pattern:<\/strong> <strong>Anafrontal cold front<\/strong> with <strong>post-frontal precipitation<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Stay aware for <strong>updated watches or warnings<\/strong>, especially across <strong>southwestern Minnesota<\/strong>, as this area is most susceptible to <strong>severe thunderstorm development Monday afternoon<\/strong>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Severe storm risk highest in southwestern Minnesota On Monday afternoon, June 2, southwestern Minnesota faces the highest risk for severe thunderstorms, with storm activity beginning early in the afternoon. According to the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) and the National Weather Service (NWS) Twin Cities, conditions will support intense storm development especially along the Minnesota\u2013South Dakota [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":18,"featured_media":3486,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3485","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-news"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Weather Minnesota: Severe storms likely in southwest Monday - United States - Weather America<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/2025\/06\/03\/weather-minnesota-severe-storms-likely-in-southwest-monday\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Weather Minnesota: Severe storms likely in southwest Monday - United States - Weather America\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Severe storm risk highest in southwestern Minnesota On Monday afternoon, June 2, southwestern Minnesota faces the highest risk for severe thunderstorms, with storm activity beginning early in the afternoon. 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