{"id":4042,"date":"2025-06-12T03:28:39","date_gmt":"2025-06-12T07:28:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/us.weatheramerica.com\/?p=4042"},"modified":"2025-06-27T04:14:49","modified_gmt":"2025-06-27T08:14:49","slug":"weather-alert-for-florida-and-gulf-coast-hurricane-risk-rises","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/2025\/06\/12\/weather-alert-for-florida-and-gulf-coast-hurricane-risk-rises\/","title":{"rendered":"Weather alert for Florida and Gulf Coast: hurricane risk rises"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-4043\" src=\"http:\/\/us.weatheramerica.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/06\/Hurricane-in-Florida_1206.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1936\" height=\"1549\" srcset=\"https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/06\/Hurricane-in-Florida_1206.jpg 1936w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/06\/Hurricane-in-Florida_1206-768x614.jpg 768w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/06\/Hurricane-in-Florida_1206-1536x1229.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/06\/Hurricane-in-Florida_1206-860x688.jpg 860w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/06\/Hurricane-in-Florida_1206-182x146.jpg 182w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1936px) 100vw, 1936px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u26c8\ufe0f New forecast raises alarm for the 2025 hurricane season<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The <strong>2025 Atlantic hurricane season<\/strong>, which officially started on <strong>June 1<\/strong>, is expected to be <strong>more intense than average<\/strong>, according to the <strong>updated forecast from Colorado State University (CSU)<\/strong>. Meteorologists now warn that there\u2019s a <strong>51% chance<\/strong> that <strong>at least one major hurricane<\/strong>\u2014<strong>Category 3 or higher<\/strong>\u2014could <strong>strike the U.S. coastline<\/strong> this year.<\/p>\n<p>This prediction reaffirms earlier projections from <strong>April<\/strong>, but recent <strong>ocean temperature readings<\/strong> and <strong>ENSO-neutral conditions<\/strong> in the <strong>tropical Pacific<\/strong> have solidified the forecast. As of <strong>today, Thursday, June 12, 2025<\/strong>, no named storms have formed yet in the <strong>Atlantic Basin<\/strong>, but the <strong>risk is building<\/strong> rapidly.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>\ud83c\udf00 A closer look at the forecast zones<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The CSU team has broken down the <strong>risk by region<\/strong>, giving <strong>coastal residents<\/strong> along the <strong>Eastern Seaboard<\/strong> and <strong>Gulf of Mexico<\/strong> a clearer view of what to expect:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The <strong>Gulf Coast<\/strong>, including the <strong>Florida Panhandle<\/strong>, has a <strong>33% chance<\/strong> of seeing a major hurricane make landfall.<\/li>\n<li>The <strong>East Coast<\/strong>, including the <strong>Florida Peninsula<\/strong>, faces a <strong>26% chance<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<li>The <strong>Caribbean<\/strong> and the <strong>entire U.S. coastline<\/strong> are both projected to experience a <strong>season above the long-term average<\/strong> in terms of storm activity.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Even though the <strong>probabilities<\/strong> may not seem overwhelming, <strong>meteorologists strongly emphasize<\/strong> that <strong>\u201cit only takes one hurricane\u201d<\/strong> to severely impact an area. This is especially critical for <strong>urban centers<\/strong>, <strong>low-lying communities<\/strong>, and <strong>coastal infrastructure<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>\ud83c\udf0a Why this season may turn volatile<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Several <strong>key climate indicators<\/strong> are converging to suggest a <strong>highly active season<\/strong> in the <strong>Atlantic<\/strong>:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Sea surface temperatures<\/strong> in the <strong>eastern and central tropical Atlantic<\/strong> are <strong>warmer than normal<\/strong>, creating <strong>more fuel<\/strong> for tropical systems.<\/li>\n<li>The <strong>El Ni\u00f1o-Southern Oscillation (ENSO)<\/strong> is currently in a <strong>neutral phase<\/strong>, which typically removes some of the <strong>atmospheric suppression<\/strong> that would otherwise inhibit storm formation.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The CSU report explains: <strong>\u201cA warmer-than-normal Atlantic combined with ENSO-neutral conditions typically favors an active Atlantic hurricane season via dynamic and thermodynamic conditions conducive to developing hurricanes.\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>These <strong>oceanic and atmospheric patterns<\/strong>, paired with the fact that <strong>last year&#8217;s season<\/strong> saw <strong>18 named storms<\/strong>\u2014<strong>11 hurricanes<\/strong>, and <strong>5 major hurricanes<\/strong>\u2014suggest that 2025 may follow a similar, if not <strong>more intense<\/strong>, path.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>\ud83d\udde3\ufe0f Official warnings and key statements<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The <strong>Colorado State University forecast<\/strong> underscores the <strong>importance of vigilance<\/strong>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201c<strong>Coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season for them. Thorough preparations should be made for every season, regardless of how much activity is predicted.<\/strong>\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Meanwhile, the <strong>National Hurricane Center (NHC)<\/strong> clarified in its most recent <strong>seven-day outlook<\/strong> that:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201c<strong>Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the Atlantic, Caribbean Sea or the Gulf of America during the next 7 days.<\/strong>\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Although <strong>no tropical systems<\/strong> are currently active, <strong>experts warn that the situation can escalate quickly<\/strong>\u2014especially in <strong>late June through October<\/strong>, which are traditionally the <strong>most active months<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>\ud83c\udf0e Eastern Pacific already active<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>While the <strong>Atlantic<\/strong> remains quiet for now, the <strong>Eastern Pacific hurricane season<\/strong>, which began on <strong>May 15<\/strong>, has already produced <strong>three named storms<\/strong>, including <strong>one hurricane<\/strong>. This contrast in activity between the two basins may shift as the <strong>summer heat continues to build<\/strong>, especially with <strong>July and August<\/strong> approaching.<\/p>\n<p>Stay tuned for further updates as the <strong>season progresses<\/strong>, especially as <strong>tropical waves<\/strong> begin to emerge from the <strong>West African coast<\/strong>\u2014a common <strong>breeding ground<\/strong> for <strong>major Atlantic hurricanes<\/strong>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u26c8\ufe0f New forecast raises alarm for the 2025 hurricane season The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, which officially started on June 1, is expected to be more intense than average, according to the updated forecast from Colorado State University (CSU). Meteorologists now warn that there\u2019s a 51% chance that at least one major hurricane\u2014Category 3 or [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":18,"featured_media":4043,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4042","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-news"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Weather alert for Florida and Gulf Coast: hurricane risk rises - United States - Weather America<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/2025\/06\/12\/weather-alert-for-florida-and-gulf-coast-hurricane-risk-rises\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Weather alert for Florida and Gulf Coast: hurricane risk rises - United States - Weather America\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\u26c8\ufe0f New forecast raises alarm for the 2025 hurricane season The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, which officially started on June 1, is expected to be more intense than average, according to the updated forecast from Colorado State University (CSU). 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