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Central Minnesota<\/strong> is bracing for potentially significant rainfall<\/strong> over the next 72 hours, as multiple weather models<\/strong> align in forecasting totals ranging from 2 to over 6 inches<\/strong> of rain (from 50 mm to over 150 mm<\/strong>) through Saturday morning<\/strong>. While 6 inches<\/strong> isn\u2019t guaranteed, the possibility of localized downpours<\/strong> and flooding<\/strong> is increasing, especially in a west-to-east corridor cutting through central Minnesota<\/strong>.<\/p>\n NAM 3km<\/strong> suggests the most aggressive outlook<\/strong>, pointing to a swath where training thunderstorms<\/strong> \u2014 storms repeatedly hitting the same area \u2014 could dump as much as 6 inches (152 mm)<\/strong>. More broadly, this model projects a widespread 2 to 5+ inches (50\u2013127+ mm)<\/strong> across a large part of the state.<\/p>\n HRRR (High-Resolution Rapid Refresh)<\/strong> indicates a southern shift<\/strong> for the heaviest rain band, but still supports totals between 2 and 5+ inches (50\u2013127+ mm)<\/strong>. The high-resolution nature of this model highlights short-term intensification and the potential for very localized flooding<\/strong>.<\/p>\n European (ECMWF)<\/strong> model casts a wider net<\/strong> of rain with an emphasis on 2 to 3+ inches (50\u201376+ mm)<\/strong> in central Minnesota<\/strong>, overlapping with the zones highlighted by NAM and HRRR.<\/p>\n RRFS<\/strong>, a new experimental model<\/strong>, closely mirrors the HRRR in both timing and location<\/strong> of the most intense rainfall.<\/p>\n NBM (National Blend of Models)<\/strong> provides a consensus-based average<\/strong>, leaning on all the above forecasts to offer an unbiased projection<\/strong>. This model suggests broad coverage<\/strong> of significant rain totals<\/strong> from Thursday into Saturday morning<\/strong>.<\/p>\n According to the National Weather Service<\/strong> in Twin Cities<\/strong>, scattered showers<\/strong> will become widespread this afternoon<\/strong> (Friday), with the most intense rainfall likely from this evening through early Friday<\/strong>. Some of the highest totals<\/strong> \u2014 exceeding 4 inches (102 mm)<\/strong> \u2014 could accumulate in a concentrated band<\/strong> running west to east across central Minnesota<\/strong>.<\/p>\n Even though Saturday<\/strong> looks relatively dry<\/strong>, thunderstorm chances<\/strong> return Sunday and continue into mid-next week<\/strong>, according to meteorologist Sven Sundgaard<\/strong>, maintaining the pattern of frequent instability<\/strong> and repeated rainfall threats<\/strong> across the state.<\/p>\n Stay tuned for further updates, especially if you’re in central or southern Minnesota<\/strong>, where rain intensity and flood potential appear to be most severe<\/strong>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Central Minnesota is bracing for potentially significant rainfall over the next 72 hours, as multiple weather models align in forecasting totals ranging from 2 to over 6 inches of rain (from 50 mm to over 150 mm) through Saturday morning. While 6 inches isn\u2019t guaranteed, the possibility of localized downpours and flooding is increasing, especially […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":18,"featured_media":4096,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4095","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-news"],"yoast_head":"\n<\/h3>\n
How much rain? Model-by-model breakdown<\/strong><\/h3>\n
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When and where it rains the most<\/strong><\/h3>\n