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Heavy rainfall expected across central Minnesota<\/strong><\/p>\n Over the next 72 hours<\/strong>, central Minnesota<\/strong> is facing the potential for very heavy rain<\/strong>, with totals possibly reaching 6 inches (152 mm)<\/strong> in some locations. This surge in precipitation is expected to unfold from Thursday afternoon through early Saturday<\/strong>, bringing with it a heightened risk of localized flooding<\/strong>.<\/p>\n According to the National Weather Service in the Twin Cities<\/strong>, the most intense periods of rain are likely Thursday afternoon into Friday morning<\/strong>. The forecast emphasizes widespread showers and thunderstorms<\/strong>, with the highest accumulation expected along a west-to-east corridor across central Minnesota<\/strong>.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n Rainfall predictions by forecast model<\/strong><\/p>\n NAM 3km model<\/strong> indicates the heaviest rainfall totals<\/strong>, with some areas potentially exceeding 6 inches (152 mm)<\/strong> if storms continuously pass over the same regions. The broader prediction range spans from 2 to 5+ inches (51 to 127 mm)<\/strong> across a wide central swath.<\/p>\n HRRR model<\/strong> positions the heaviest band slightly farther south<\/strong>, but similarly forecasts a 2 to 5+ inch (51 to 127 mm)<\/strong> rainfall corridor. This model shows a compact, intense system.<\/p>\n European model (ECMWF)<\/strong> offers a more widespread prediction<\/strong>, with 2 to 3+ inches (51 to 76 mm)<\/strong> expected over a larger area. This model also identifies central Minnesota as the high-impact zone<\/strong>.<\/p>\n RRFS<\/strong>, the experimental short-range model<\/strong>, closely mirrors the HRRR<\/strong>, pinpointing the same south-central axis<\/strong> for the most intense rainfall<\/strong>.<\/p>\n NBM (National Blend of Models)<\/strong>, which aggregates output from all the major models, suggests a neutral, averaged forecast<\/strong> of 2 to 4 inches (51 to 102 mm)<\/strong> across much of central and southern Minnesota<\/strong>.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n Looking beyond Saturday<\/strong><\/p>\n While Saturday itself appears drier<\/strong>, Meteorologist Sven Sundgaard<\/strong> cautions that the storm threat isn\u2019t over<\/strong>. Beginning Sunday and continuing into midweek<\/strong>, there will be a daily chance of thunderstorms<\/strong> somewhere across Minnesota<\/strong>.<\/p>\n The persistent pattern of moisture and instability<\/strong> makes it likely that additional rainfall events<\/strong> could compound already saturated ground<\/strong>, further increasing the flooding risk<\/strong> in low-lying areas, especially in the central counties<\/strong>.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n Local impacts and flood potential<\/strong><\/p>\n The National Weather Service<\/strong> is highlighting the possibility of “high-end amounts over 4 inches (102 mm)”<\/strong> leading to flooding<\/strong>, particularly in parts of Stearns<\/strong>, Morrison<\/strong>, Wright<\/strong>, and Sherburne counties<\/strong>. Rainfall totals will be highly variable<\/strong>, depending on where storms stall or repeat<\/strong>.<\/p>\n The forecasted rainfall<\/strong>, combined with already wet soil conditions<\/strong>, creates a volatile flood setup<\/strong>. This makes it critical to monitor radar trends<\/strong>, especially in the Thursday evening through Friday morning<\/strong> time frame.<\/p>\n Stay tuned as conditions evolve<\/strong>, with updated model guidance expected multiple times a day through the weekend.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Heavy rainfall expected across central Minnesota Over the next 72 hours, central Minnesota is facing the potential for very heavy rain, with totals possibly reaching 6 inches (152 mm) in some locations. This surge in precipitation is expected to unfold from Thursday afternoon through early Saturday, bringing with it a heightened risk of localized flooding. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":4158,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4157","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-news"],"yoast_head":"\n