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Houston<\/strong>, Galveston<\/strong>, Corpus Christi<\/strong>, South Padre Island<\/strong>, and Brownsville<\/strong> may soon face a tropical threat<\/strong>. As of Friday, June 13, 2025<\/strong>, the GFS (Global Forecast System)<\/strong> and other global weather models are signaling the possible development of a tropical low<\/strong> in the Bay of Campeche<\/strong> by around Monday, June 24<\/strong>.<\/p>\n Forecasts show a consistent pattern: a tropical disturbance<\/strong> may organize in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico<\/strong>, especially in the Bay of Campeche<\/strong>, around late June<\/strong>. While this is still more than a week away, the repetition across models<\/strong> suggests this isn’t just a fleeting projection. Model consensus increases the confidence in potential formation<\/strong>, although track, timing, and intensity remain uncertain<\/strong>.<\/p>\n If this system develops, it could bring heavy rainfall<\/strong>, localized flooding<\/strong>, and gusty winds<\/strong> to parts of Texas<\/strong>, particularly along the Gulf Coast<\/strong>. Based on current data, the system could evolve into a tropical depression<\/strong>, a tropical storm<\/strong>, or\u2014if environmental conditions allow\u2014the first hurricane of the 2025 Atlantic season<\/strong>.<\/p>\n The GFS<\/strong>, in particular, has been consistent with this signal for several model runs. That kind of persistence adds weight, even if no official forecast has yet confirmed storm development.<\/p>\n As of today, no official tropical cyclone warnings or watches<\/strong> are in place. Nothing is imminent<\/strong>, and there is no need for immediate action<\/strong>. This remains a developing system<\/strong>, and its path and intensity could shift significantly<\/strong> in the coming days.<\/p>\n Nevertheless, those in coastal Texas<\/strong> are urged to stay updated<\/strong> through official sources like the National Hurricane Center (NHC)<\/strong> and the National Weather Service (NWS)<\/strong>, especially as we move closer to the last week of June<\/strong>.<\/p>\n Next week’s weather model runs will be crucial. If this system holds its projected track and gains organization, advisories could begin around or just after June 20<\/strong>. The Bay of Campeche<\/strong> is historically favorable for early-season tropical activity due to warm waters<\/strong> and low wind shear<\/strong>, especially in late June and early July<\/strong>.<\/p>\n Stay alert, especially if you’re in or near Houston<\/strong>, Galveston<\/strong>, Victoria<\/strong>, or the Lower Rio Grande Valley<\/strong>. Further updates will be issued as the system evolves and forecast confidence improves.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Houston, Galveston, Corpus Christi, South Padre Island, and Brownsville may soon face a tropical threat. As of Friday, June 13, 2025, the GFS (Global Forecast System) and other global weather models are signaling the possible development of a tropical low in the Bay of Campeche by around Monday, June 24. Tropical low could form in […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":4164,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4163","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-news"],"yoast_head":"\n<\/h3>\n
Tropical low could form in the Bay of Campeche<\/strong><\/h3>\n
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Impacts for the Texas coast<\/strong><\/h3>\n
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Stay informed, not alarmed<\/strong><\/h3>\n
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Forecasts to watch next week<\/strong><\/h3>\n