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Potential tropical system brewing off the coast of Florida<\/strong><\/p>\n ORLANDO, Florida<\/strong> \u2013 As of Thursday evening, July 3, 2025<\/strong>, the National Hurricane Center (NHC)<\/strong> has increased the probability of a tropical disturbance<\/strong> forming off the Southeastern U.S. coast<\/strong>, with the potential to impact Florida<\/strong> through the Fourth of July weekend<\/strong>. The system, now given a 60% chance of development<\/strong> over the next seven days<\/strong>, is already triggering concerns about flooding rain<\/strong> and dangerous storms<\/strong> across Central Florida<\/strong>.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n Frontal boundary may stall in the Gulf of Mexico<\/strong><\/p>\n The latest update from the NHC<\/strong> outlines that a frontal boundary<\/strong> is expected to stall and weaken<\/strong> just off the Gulf Coast<\/strong>. In this environment, a low-pressure area<\/strong> could form, which may develop into a tropical<\/strong> or subtropical<\/strong> system. Current models show a 20% chance of formation<\/strong> within the next 48 hours<\/strong>, rising sharply to 60% by mid-next week<\/strong>.<\/p>\n The region highlighted for potential development includes the waters off the Carolinas<\/strong>, Georgia<\/strong>, and Florida<\/strong>, where conditions remain conducive to storm formation. Ocean temperatures<\/strong> are already hovering in the mid-80s Fahrenheit (around 29 \u00b0C)<\/strong>, and the wind shear<\/strong> is low\u2014two ingredients favorable for cyclonic growth. The absence of Saharan Dust<\/strong>, which typically acts to dry the atmosphere, is further enhancing the potential for development.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n Florida forecast: What to expect Thursday through Saturday<\/strong><\/p>\n Even if a fully organized tropical system fails to form, the impact on Florida\u2019s weather<\/strong> will be significant. The FOX 35 Storm Team<\/strong> is forecasting daily rounds of thunderstorms, heavy showers<\/strong>, and potentially severe downpours<\/strong>, especially on Thursday, Friday<\/strong>, and Saturday<\/strong>. Some storms may include gusty winds<\/strong> and large hail<\/strong>, particularly during the afternoon peak heating hours<\/strong>.<\/p>\n On Thursday<\/strong>, the chance of rain across Central Florida<\/strong> is around 50%<\/strong>, with greater rain coverage<\/strong> expected across the western peninsula<\/strong>, from Tampa Bay<\/strong> through the Big Bend region<\/strong>, where over 6 inches (about 15 cm)<\/strong> of rainfall may accumulate over several days.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n Travel impacts and flooding risk during holiday weekend<\/strong><\/p>\n The Fourth of July holiday<\/strong> is expected to be marked by unsettled weather<\/strong>, with increased flood risk<\/strong>, especially in urban and low-lying areas<\/strong>. The FOX 35 Storm Team<\/strong> emphasizes the potential for flooding during peak travel times<\/strong>, especially late Friday into Saturday<\/strong>.<\/p>\n Orlando International Airport (MCO)<\/strong> is already bracing for a surge in travelers<\/strong>, with more than 1.4 million passengers<\/strong> expected this week. The three busiest travel days will be Sunday, July 6<\/strong>, Monday, July 7<\/strong>, and Saturday, July 5<\/strong>, with each day seeing well over 165,000 travelers<\/strong>.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n Atlantic hurricane season 2025 remains quiet\u2014for now<\/strong><\/p>\n As of early July<\/strong>, the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season<\/strong> has been remarkably quiet<\/strong>, with an Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE)<\/strong> of just 0.2<\/strong>, a figure over 90% below the seasonal average<\/strong>. However, meteorologists stress that this early-season lull<\/strong> does not indicate<\/strong> how the rest of the season will unfold. The peak of hurricane activity<\/strong> typically arrives in mid-September<\/strong>.<\/p>\n The 2024 season<\/strong> ended with 18 named storms<\/strong>, including 5 hurricanes<\/strong>, 3<\/strong> of which made landfall in Florida<\/strong>, 2<\/strong> as major hurricanes<\/strong>. The official 2025 hurricane season<\/strong> began on June 1<\/strong> and will run through November 30<\/strong>.<\/p>\n <\/p>\n Real-time weather monitoring for Central Florida<\/strong><\/p>\n Stay updated as conditions change using the FOX 35 Storm Tracker Radar<\/strong>, which offers live coverage of storm activity<\/strong> moving across Brevard<\/strong>, Flagler<\/strong>, Lake<\/strong>, Marion<\/strong>, Osceola<\/strong>, Orange<\/strong>, Polk<\/strong>, Seminole<\/strong>, Sumter<\/strong>, and Volusia Counties<\/strong>, along with access to national radar data<\/strong>.<\/p>\n As Fourth of July<\/strong> events ramp up across the Sunshine State<\/strong>, meteorologists will continue to monitor this evolving situation closely.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Potential tropical system brewing off the coast of Florida ORLANDO, Florida \u2013 As of Thursday evening, July 3, 2025, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) has increased the probability of a tropical disturbance forming off the Southeastern U.S. coast, with the potential to impact Florida through the Fourth of July weekend. The system, now given a […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":5335,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5334","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-news"],"yoast_head":"\n