{"id":5383,"date":"2025-07-04T06:38:59","date_gmt":"2025-07-04T10:38:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/us.weatheramerica.com\/?p=5383"},"modified":"2025-07-04T06:38:59","modified_gmt":"2025-07-04T10:38:59","slug":"weather-south-texas-flood-risk-rises-with-thursday-storms","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/2025\/07\/04\/weather-south-texas-flood-risk-rises-with-thursday-storms\/","title":{"rendered":"Weather South Texas: flood risk rises with Thursday storms"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-5384\" src=\"http:\/\/us.weatheramerica.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/flood-in-texas_0407.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2121\" height=\"1414\" srcset=\"https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/flood-in-texas_0407.jpg 2121w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/flood-in-texas_0407-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/flood-in-texas_0407-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/flood-in-texas_0407-2048x1365.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/flood-in-texas_0407-330x220.jpg 330w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/flood-in-texas_0407-420x280.jpg 420w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/flood-in-texas_0407-615x410.jpg 615w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/flood-in-texas_0407-860x573.jpg 860w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/flood-in-texas_0407-219x146.jpg 219w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2121px) 100vw, 2121px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>South Texas<\/strong> is experiencing a <strong>rare break<\/strong> from its typical <strong>July heat<\/strong>, as <strong>tropical moisture<\/strong> surging from the south is replacing the usual oppressive temperatures with <strong>clouds, showers, and thunderstorms<\/strong>. This unseasonal setup is <strong>pushing down daytime highs<\/strong> and <strong>raising flood risks<\/strong> across <strong>Central<\/strong> and <strong>South Texas<\/strong>, especially <strong>Thursday night<\/strong> into <strong>Friday morning<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3><strong>Mild start to Thursday across San Antonio<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>The day began under <strong>mostly cloudy skies<\/strong> in the <strong>San Antonio<\/strong> metro area, with <strong>early morning temperatures<\/strong> hovering in the <strong>mid-70s\u00b0F (around 24\u00b0C)<\/strong>. Through the morning hours, <strong>rain chances remained low<\/strong>\u2014below 20%\u2014but conditions are set to change <strong>rapidly<\/strong> as the day progresses.<\/p>\n<p>By <strong>noon<\/strong>, <strong>scattered showers<\/strong> are expected to build across the region, with <strong>San Antonio&#8217;s rain chance climbing to 30%<\/strong>, increasing further to <strong>about 40%<\/strong> by the <strong>late afternoon<\/strong>. Thunder is possible, but the threat of <strong>severe weather<\/strong> remains <strong>very low<\/strong>. Daytime highs will stay well below average, peaking in the <strong>mid to upper 80s\u00b0F (29\u201331\u00b0C)<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3><strong>Flooding risk peaks overnight across the Hill Country<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Thursday evening into Friday morning<\/strong> brings the <strong>highest flood risk<\/strong> to parts of <strong>South-Central Texas<\/strong>, particularly the <strong>Texas Hill Country<\/strong>. Rain chances in <strong>San Antonio<\/strong> are forecast to reach <strong>50 to 60%<\/strong>, and while most areas should see <strong>less than 2 inches (5 cm)<\/strong> of rainfall, <strong>localized downpours<\/strong> may deliver as much as <strong>5 inches (13 cm)<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>The <strong>flood threat<\/strong> will be <strong>isolated<\/strong>, but serious enough to put several communities under watch. <strong>Kerrville<\/strong>, <strong>Fredericksburg<\/strong>, <strong>Boerne<\/strong>, <strong>Hondo<\/strong>, and <strong>Llano<\/strong> are all included in a <strong>Level 2 of 4 risk<\/strong> for <strong>excessive rainfall<\/strong>. Meanwhile, the <strong>Interstate 35 corridor<\/strong>, including <strong>Austin<\/strong> and <strong>San Antonio<\/strong>, is under a <strong>Level 1 risk<\/strong>, indicating a <strong>marginal<\/strong> but notable chance for <strong>flash flooding<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3><strong>Fourth of July weather: umbrellas and humidity<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>Forecasts for <strong>Friday, July 4<\/strong>, have <strong>trended wetter<\/strong>. While <strong>initial models<\/strong> suggested mostly <strong>dry skies<\/strong>, updated data indicates a <strong>30 to 40% chance of rain<\/strong> through the <strong>morning and early afternoon<\/strong> across <strong>South Texas<\/strong>, including <strong>San Antonio<\/strong>. Showers and storms could <strong>briefly interrupt<\/strong> holiday plans, but rain chances <strong>decrease after sunset<\/strong>, offering a better outlook for <strong>fireworks displays<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Despite the clouds and rain, <strong>humidity will be intense<\/strong>. Morning temps will start again in the <strong>mid-70s\u00b0F (24\u00b0C)<\/strong>, climbing into the <strong>upper 80s to near 90\u00b0F (31\u201332\u00b0C)<\/strong> by the afternoon. Heat index values may approach the <strong>upper 90s\u00b0F (36\u201337\u00b0C)<\/strong> due to the <strong>thick humidity<\/strong> blanketing the region.<\/p>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3><strong>Weekend warming trend returns to San Antonio<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>As <strong>sunshine returns<\/strong> by the weekend, so too will <strong>hotter temperatures<\/strong>. <strong>San Antonio<\/strong> is projected to reach <strong>mid-90s\u00b0F (35\u00b0C)<\/strong> during the afternoon on <strong>Saturday<\/strong> and <strong>Sunday<\/strong>, with <strong>overnight lows<\/strong> holding steady in the <strong>mid-70s\u00b0F (24\u00b0C)<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Looking ahead to <strong>next week<\/strong>, the <strong>heat dome<\/strong> strengthens once again over <strong>South Texas<\/strong>, slowly driving up <strong>daytime highs<\/strong> into the <strong>upper 90s\u00b0F (36\u201337\u00b0C)<\/strong> by <strong>Wednesday<\/strong> and <strong>Thursday<\/strong>, though most models currently <strong>keep the mercury just shy of 100\u00b0F (38\u00b0C)<\/strong>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>South Texas is experiencing a rare break from its typical July heat, as tropical moisture surging from the south is replacing the usual oppressive temperatures with clouds, showers, and thunderstorms. This unseasonal setup is pushing down daytime highs and raising flood risks across Central and South Texas, especially Thursday night into Friday morning. Mild start [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":5384,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5383","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-news"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Weather South Texas: flood risk rises with Thursday storms - United States - Weather America<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/2025\/07\/04\/weather-south-texas-flood-risk-rises-with-thursday-storms\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Weather South Texas: flood risk rises with Thursday storms - United States - Weather America\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"South Texas is experiencing a rare break from its typical July heat, as tropical moisture surging from the south is replacing the usual oppressive temperatures with clouds, showers, and thunderstorms. 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