{"id":5389,"date":"2025-07-04T06:43:04","date_gmt":"2025-07-04T10:43:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/us.weatheramerica.com\/?p=5389"},"modified":"2025-07-04T06:43:04","modified_gmt":"2025-07-04T10:43:04","slug":"weather-alert-florida-60-chance-of-tropical-depression-this-weekend","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/2025\/07\/04\/weather-alert-florida-60-chance-of-tropical-depression-this-weekend\/","title":{"rendered":"Weather alert Florida: 60% chance of tropical depression this weekend"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-5390\" src=\"http:\/\/us.weatheramerica.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/tropical-depression-in-florida_0407.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2121\" height=\"1414\" srcset=\"https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/tropical-depression-in-florida_0407.jpg 2121w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/tropical-depression-in-florida_0407-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/tropical-depression-in-florida_0407-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/tropical-depression-in-florida_0407-2048x1365.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/tropical-depression-in-florida_0407-330x220.jpg 330w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/tropical-depression-in-florida_0407-420x280.jpg 420w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/tropical-depression-in-florida_0407-615x410.jpg 615w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/tropical-depression-in-florida_0407-860x573.jpg 860w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/tropical-depression-in-florida_0407-219x146.jpg 219w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2121px) 100vw, 2121px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>FLORIDA<\/strong> \u2013 As of <strong>Thursday, July 4<\/strong>, the <strong>National Hurricane Center<\/strong> reports a <strong>60% chance<\/strong> that a <strong>tropical or subtropical depression<\/strong> could develop <strong>off the Southeast coast<\/strong>, with particular focus on waters near <strong>Florida<\/strong> and extending toward <strong>Georgia<\/strong> and the <strong>Carolinas<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p><strong>A broad area of low pressure<\/strong> is expected to take shape along a <strong>stalled front<\/strong>, which is already generating <strong>heavy rain<\/strong> and <strong>increased storm activity<\/strong> across <strong>Central<\/strong> and <strong>South Florida<\/strong>, from <strong>Orlando<\/strong> to <strong>Miami<\/strong>, including coastal zones like <strong>Daytona Beach<\/strong> and <strong>Tampa<\/strong>. These <strong>wet and stormy conditions<\/strong> are projected to continue <strong>through Friday<\/strong> and linger into the <strong>holiday weekend<\/strong>, with rainfall spreading northward along the <strong>Southeast coast<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3><strong>Potential for tropical development near Florida<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>The <strong>development potential<\/strong> stems from a <strong>frontal boundary<\/strong> weakening over the <strong>western Atlantic<\/strong>, which could allow a <strong>low-pressure system<\/strong> to organize slowly over warm waters. While <strong>atmospheric conditions<\/strong> are currently only <strong>marginally favorable<\/strong>, there&#8217;s a moderate likelihood that this system could evolve into a <strong>tropical<\/strong> or <strong>subtropical depression<\/strong> <strong>late this weekend<\/strong> or <strong>early next week<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>If a <strong>named storm<\/strong> does form, it would be called <strong>Chantal<\/strong>, the next name on the <strong>2025 Atlantic hurricane list<\/strong>. However, forecasters do <strong>not expect<\/strong> any rapid or intense strengthening at this time. The system, if it develops, would likely remain <strong>poorly organized<\/strong>, with limited potential for intensification.<\/p>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3><strong>Storm impacts already underway in Florida<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Regardless of tropical formation<\/strong>, this system is already having <strong>noticeable effects<\/strong>. <strong>Multiple rounds of thunderstorms<\/strong> are sweeping across <strong>Florida<\/strong>, with <strong>gusty winds<\/strong>, <strong>persistent downpours<\/strong>, and a risk of <strong>localized flash flooding<\/strong>, particularly in <strong>low-lying urban areas<\/strong> and places with <strong>poor drainage<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>By <strong>Saturday and Sunday<\/strong>, the unsettled weather will expand across parts of <strong>southeast Georgia<\/strong> and the <strong>coastal Carolinas<\/strong>, potentially affecting cities like <strong>Savannah<\/strong>, <strong>Charleston<\/strong>, and <strong>Wilmington<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3><strong>Beach and travel concerns for the Fourth of July weekend<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>Beach conditions across the <strong>Southeast coastline<\/strong> will be <strong>unreliable<\/strong> this weekend, as waves of <strong>heavy showers<\/strong> and <strong>occasional lightning<\/strong> disrupt typical afternoon sunshine. <strong>Rip currents<\/strong> may pose a <strong>serious risk<\/strong> along shores from <strong>Cape Canaveral<\/strong> to <strong>Myrtle Beach<\/strong>, particularly with the onshore flow tied to the <strong>developing low<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Vacationers<\/strong> and <strong>locals<\/strong> along the <strong>Atlantic coast<\/strong> should be aware of <strong>changing flags<\/strong> at lifeguard stations, which indicate <strong>ocean hazards<\/strong> like <strong>strong surf<\/strong> and <strong>dangerous currents<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3><strong>Rainfall forecast through Monday<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>Projected rainfall totals show widespread <strong>1 to 3 inches<\/strong> (25 to 75 mm) of precipitation across <strong>Central<\/strong> and <strong>South Florida<\/strong>, with <strong>isolated pockets<\/strong> exceeding <strong>4 inches<\/strong> (100 mm), particularly where storms persist. Farther north, into <strong>Georgia<\/strong> and the <strong>Carolinas<\/strong>, <strong>lighter amounts<\/strong> are expected, but totals could increase if the low becomes more organized.<\/p>\n<p>Stay tuned for <strong>updated forecasts<\/strong> as <strong>conditions evolve<\/strong> heading into the <strong>weekend<\/strong>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>FLORIDA \u2013 As of Thursday, July 4, the National Hurricane Center reports a 60% chance that a tropical or subtropical depression could develop off the Southeast coast, with particular focus on waters near Florida and extending toward Georgia and the Carolinas. A broad area of low pressure is expected to take shape along a stalled [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":18,"featured_media":5390,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5389","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-news"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Weather alert Florida: 60% chance of tropical depression this weekend - United States - Weather America<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/2025\/07\/04\/weather-alert-florida-60-chance-of-tropical-depression-this-weekend\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Weather alert Florida: 60% chance of tropical depression this weekend - United States - Weather America\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"FLORIDA \u2013 As of Thursday, July 4, the National Hurricane Center reports a 60% chance that a tropical or subtropical depression could develop off the Southeast coast, with particular focus on waters near Florida and extending toward Georgia and the Carolinas. 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