{"id":5908,"date":"2025-07-13T06:37:12","date_gmt":"2025-07-13T10:37:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/us.weatheramerica.com\/?p=5908"},"modified":"2025-07-13T06:37:12","modified_gmt":"2025-07-13T10:37:12","slug":"weather-florida-heavy-rain-tropical-trouble-could-brew-next-week","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/2025\/07\/13\/weather-florida-heavy-rain-tropical-trouble-could-brew-next-week\/","title":{"rendered":"Weather Florida: Heavy rain, tropical trouble could brew next week"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-5909\" src=\"http:\/\/us.weatheramerica.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/florida-rain-1307.jpg\" alt=\"florida-rain-1307\" width=\"2200\" height=\"1463\" srcset=\"https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/florida-rain-1307.jpg 2200w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/florida-rain-1307-768x511.jpg 768w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/florida-rain-1307-1536x1021.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/florida-rain-1307-2048x1362.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/florida-rain-1307-330x220.jpg 330w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/florida-rain-1307-420x280.jpg 420w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/florida-rain-1307-615x410.jpg 615w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/florida-rain-1307-860x572.jpg 860w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/florida-rain-1307-220x146.jpg 220w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2200px) 100vw, 2200px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>Florida braces for days of soaking rain, eyes on Gulf system<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>FLORIDA<\/strong> \u2013 The <strong>Sunshine State<\/strong> won\u2019t be living up to its name next week. Instead of sun, much of <strong>Florida<\/strong> is gearing up for several days of <strong>steady rainfall<\/strong>, with the added possibility of <strong>tropical development<\/strong> as a weather system drifts toward the <strong>Gulf of Mexico<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The <strong>FOX Forecast Center<\/strong> is keeping close tabs on a <strong>weak, non-tropical low-pressure system<\/strong> that\u2019s expected to slide off the <strong>Southeast coast<\/strong>, cross over <strong>northern Florida<\/strong>, and move into the <strong>eastern Gulf<\/strong> by the <strong>second half of the week<\/strong>. The concern is not just how much rain it will dump across the <strong>state<\/strong>, but what it could become once it reaches the <strong>warm Gulf waters<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Before the system even reaches the <strong>Gulf<\/strong>, it\u2019s likely to bring <strong>several rounds of heavy rain<\/strong> to <strong>central and southern Florida<\/strong>, especially beginning <strong>Sunday<\/strong> and ramping up into <strong>Monday<\/strong>. Forecast models suggest that some areas south of the <strong>I-4 corridor<\/strong> could see <strong>3 to 5 inches<\/strong> (76 to 127 mm) of rain through the week \u2014 and possibly more where <strong>thunderstorms<\/strong> stall. In fact, some downpours could drop as much as <strong>1 to 3 inches per hour<\/strong> (25 to 76 mm\/h), raising the risk of <strong>flash flooding<\/strong> in vulnerable spots.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Exactly where the worst flooding might occur won\u2019t become clear until closer to the event, but meteorologists are urging residents to stay weather-aware as the pattern develops.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Once the system reaches the <strong>Gulf of Mexico<\/strong>, that\u2019s when the tropical conversation begins. While current model guidance doesn\u2019t show a strong signal for rapid development, a few runs do suggest the system could take on <strong>some tropical characteristics<\/strong> by <strong>midweek<\/strong>, thanks to <strong>warm sea surface temperatures<\/strong> and enough <strong>moisture<\/strong> in the atmosphere to support it.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u201cYou\u2019ll notice a little cinnamon-bun-like swirl on some of the model charts moving across the peninsula into the Gulf,\u201d said <strong>FOX Weather meteorologist Michael Estime<\/strong>. \u201cThat\u2019s the mid-level spin we\u2019re watching. It <em>could<\/em> \u2014 and I emphasize <em>could<\/em> \u2014 begin to show some tropical characteristics later in the week.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Whether the disturbance strengthens or not will depend largely on how much <strong>wind shear<\/strong> is present in the <strong>Gulf<\/strong>, and how much time the system spends over water before moving on.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Florida braces for days of soaking rain, eyes on Gulf system FLORIDA \u2013 The Sunshine State won\u2019t be living up to its name next week. Instead of sun, much of Florida is gearing up for several days of steady rainfall, with the added possibility of tropical development as a weather system drifts toward the Gulf [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":5909,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5908","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-news"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Weather Florida: Heavy rain, tropical trouble could brew next week - United States - Weather America<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/2025\/07\/13\/weather-florida-heavy-rain-tropical-trouble-could-brew-next-week\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Weather Florida: Heavy rain, tropical trouble could brew next week - United States - Weather America\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Florida braces for days of soaking rain, eyes on Gulf system FLORIDA \u2013 The Sunshine State won\u2019t be living up to its name next week. 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