{"id":6030,"date":"2025-07-15T09:51:47","date_gmt":"2025-07-15T13:51:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/us.weatheramerica.com\/?p=6030"},"modified":"2025-07-15T09:51:47","modified_gmt":"2025-07-15T13:51:47","slug":"weather-florida-tropical-storm-could-form-this-week","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/2025\/07\/15\/weather-florida-tropical-storm-could-form-this-week\/","title":{"rendered":"Weather Florida: tropical storm could form this week"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-6031\" src=\"http:\/\/us.weatheramerica.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/strom-in-florida-1507.jpg\" alt=\"strom in florida-1507\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1500\" srcset=\"https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/strom-in-florida-1507.jpg 2000w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/strom-in-florida-1507-768x576.jpg 768w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/strom-in-florida-1507-1536x1152.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/strom-in-florida-1507-860x645.jpg 860w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/strom-in-florida-1507-195x146.jpg 195w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>A large area of atmospheric instability off the east coast of Florida<\/strong> may develop into a <strong>tropical system<\/strong> in the coming days. While <strong>no storm has formed yet<\/strong>, the <strong>National Hurricane Center (NHC)<\/strong> has warned that the disturbance will move <strong>westward<\/strong>, crossing the <strong>Florida Peninsula<\/strong> and potentially <strong>gaining strength<\/strong> as it enters the <strong>warmer waters of the northeastern Gulf of Mexico<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3><strong>Potential development of tropical storm \u201cDexter\u201d<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>Since the <strong>early hours of Monday, July 14<\/strong>, a <strong>low-pressure system<\/strong> near the <strong>eastern coast of Florida<\/strong> has been producing <strong>scattered showers and disorganized thunderstorms<\/strong>. According to the latest update from the <strong>NHC<\/strong>, this <strong>atmospheric disturbance<\/strong> is expected to move <strong>west<\/strong>, crossing <strong>Florida<\/strong> before reaching the <strong>northeastern Gulf of Mexico<\/strong> by <strong>Tuesday night<\/strong> or <strong>early Wednesday<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>If the system organizes, it would be named <strong>\u201cDexter\u201d<\/strong>, making it the <strong>fourth named storm of the 2025 season<\/strong>\u2014a nearly <strong>one-month head start<\/strong> compared to the <strong>average schedule<\/strong>, where the <strong>fourth storm<\/strong> typically forms around <strong>August 15<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3><strong>A pattern similar to the storm that produced Chantal<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Meteorologist Elizabeth Danco<\/strong> from <strong>AccuWeather<\/strong> noted that this system is forming along a <strong>stationary front<\/strong>, similar to the one that led to the development of <strong>tropical storm Chantal<\/strong> in early <strong>July<\/strong>. That storm formed from the interaction between a <strong>weak trough<\/strong> and a <strong>front that stalled over the region<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Chantal<\/strong> made landfall in the <strong>Carolinas<\/strong> on <strong>July 6<\/strong>, bringing <strong>torrential rainfall<\/strong>. In places like <strong>Chapel Hill, North Carolina<\/strong>, rainfall totals in just <strong>one day<\/strong> were equivalent to an <strong>entire month of precipitation<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>This time, the front appears <strong>weaker<\/strong>, and the <strong>jet stream is less active<\/strong>, but <strong>wind shear is also low<\/strong>, which could help support the <strong>formation of a tropical storm<\/strong>. The <strong>chance of development<\/strong> remains <strong>low (10%) over the next 48 hours<\/strong>, but could increase to <strong>30% over the next seven days<\/strong>, according to the official <strong>NHC forecast<\/strong> signed by meteorologist <strong>Kelly<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3><strong>Expected impact across the southeastern United States<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>Even if the disturbance <strong>doesn\u2019t become a tropical storm<\/strong>, its <strong>weather impacts<\/strong> will be felt across <strong>multiple southeastern states<\/strong>. From <strong>Monday through Thursday<\/strong>, <strong>persistent rain<\/strong> is expected, especially across <strong>northern and central Florida<\/strong>. <strong>Heavy rainfall<\/strong>, the threat of <strong>flash flooding<\/strong>, and <strong>dangerous marine conditions<\/strong> are the main concerns for the week.<\/p>\n<p>In addition, <strong>elevated surf and rip currents<\/strong> are likely along much of the <strong>Atlantic coast<\/strong>, from <strong>Florida<\/strong> up through <strong>North Carolina<\/strong>, disrupting <strong>boating and beach activities<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3><strong>An unusually early and active hurricane season<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>Although the <strong>first storm of the season arrived later than usual<\/strong>, the <strong>2025 Atlantic hurricane season<\/strong> has already shown <strong>above-average activity<\/strong> for <strong>mid-July<\/strong>. So far, <strong>three named storms<\/strong> have formed, while typically the <strong>third named system<\/strong> doesn\u2019t appear until <strong>early August<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>This <strong>accelerated pace<\/strong> has led <strong>meteorologists<\/strong> to adjust their <strong>seasonal forecasts<\/strong>, anticipating a <strong>more active season than initially expected<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Still, not all parts of the <strong>Atlantic basin<\/strong> are favorable for development. <strong>Large plumes of Saharan dust<\/strong>, combined with <strong>unfavorable winds<\/strong>, continue to <strong>suppress storm formation<\/strong> in the <strong>eastern Atlantic<\/strong>, near the <strong>African coast<\/strong>\u2014a region that often gives rise to the <strong>most intense hurricanes<\/strong>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A large area of atmospheric instability off the east coast of Florida may develop into a tropical system in the coming days. While no storm has formed yet, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) has warned that the disturbance will move westward, crossing the Florida Peninsula and potentially gaining strength as it enters the warmer waters [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":6031,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6030","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-news"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Weather Florida: tropical storm could form this week - United States - Weather America<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/2025\/07\/15\/weather-florida-tropical-storm-could-form-this-week\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Weather Florida: tropical storm could form this week - United States - Weather America\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"A large area of atmospheric instability off the east coast of Florida may develop into a tropical system in the coming days. While no storm has formed yet, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) has warned that the disturbance will move westward, crossing the Florida Peninsula and potentially gaining strength as it enters the warmer waters [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/2025\/07\/15\/weather-florida-tropical-storm-could-form-this-week\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"United States - Weather America\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-07-15T13:51:47+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/strom-in-florida-1507.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"2000\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1500\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Daniel Swain\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Daniel Swain\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/2025\/07\/15\/weather-florida-tropical-storm-could-form-this-week\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/2025\/07\/15\/weather-florida-tropical-storm-could-form-this-week\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Daniel Swain\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/#\/schema\/person\/cd71e646398f7e54b04cfbb293b310c7\"},\"headline\":\"Weather Florida: tropical storm could form this week\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-07-15T13:51:47+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/2025\/07\/15\/weather-florida-tropical-storm-could-form-this-week\/\"},\"wordCount\":511,\"commentCount\":0,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/2025\/07\/15\/weather-florida-tropical-storm-could-form-this-week\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/strom-in-florida-1507.jpg\",\"articleSection\":[\"News\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/2025\/07\/15\/weather-florida-tropical-storm-could-form-this-week\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/2025\/07\/15\/weather-florida-tropical-storm-could-form-this-week\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/2025\/07\/15\/weather-florida-tropical-storm-could-form-this-week\/\",\"name\":\"Weather Florida: tropical storm could form this week - 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While no storm has formed yet, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) has warned that the disturbance will move westward, crossing the Florida Peninsula and potentially gaining strength as it enters the warmer waters [&hellip;]","og_url":"https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/2025\/07\/15\/weather-florida-tropical-storm-could-form-this-week\/","og_site_name":"United States - Weather America","article_published_time":"2025-07-15T13:51:47+00:00","og_image":[{"width":2000,"height":1500,"url":"https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/strom-in-florida-1507.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"Daniel Swain","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Daniel Swain","Est. reading time":"3 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/2025\/07\/15\/weather-florida-tropical-storm-could-form-this-week\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/2025\/07\/15\/weather-florida-tropical-storm-could-form-this-week\/"},"author":{"name":"Daniel Swain","@id":"https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/#\/schema\/person\/cd71e646398f7e54b04cfbb293b310c7"},"headline":"Weather Florida: tropical storm could form this week","datePublished":"2025-07-15T13:51:47+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/2025\/07\/15\/weather-florida-tropical-storm-could-form-this-week\/"},"wordCount":511,"commentCount":0,"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/2025\/07\/15\/weather-florida-tropical-storm-could-form-this-week\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/strom-in-florida-1507.jpg","articleSection":["News"],"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/2025\/07\/15\/weather-florida-tropical-storm-could-form-this-week\/#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/2025\/07\/15\/weather-florida-tropical-storm-could-form-this-week\/","url":"https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/2025\/07\/15\/weather-florida-tropical-storm-could-form-this-week\/","name":"Weather Florida: tropical storm could form this week - 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