{"id":6204,"date":"2025-07-18T05:05:55","date_gmt":"2025-07-18T09:05:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/us.weatheramerica.com\/?p=6204"},"modified":"2025-07-18T05:05:55","modified_gmt":"2025-07-18T09:05:55","slug":"weather-alert-florida-atlantic-nina-could-shift-hurricane-outlook","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/2025\/07\/18\/weather-alert-florida-atlantic-nina-could-shift-hurricane-outlook\/","title":{"rendered":"Weather alert Florida: Atlantic Ni\u00f1a could shift hurricane outlook"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-6205\" src=\"http:\/\/us.weatheramerica.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/florida-storm-1807-2.jpg\" alt=\"florida storm-1807-2\" width=\"1999\" height=\"1499\" srcset=\"https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/florida-storm-1807-2.jpg 1999w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/florida-storm-1807-2-768x576.jpg 768w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/florida-storm-1807-2-1536x1152.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/florida-storm-1807-2-860x645.jpg 860w, https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/florida-storm-1807-2-195x146.jpg 195w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1999px) 100vw, 1999px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>An unusual shift in the tropical Atlantic Ocean<\/strong>, known as an <strong>Atlantic Ni\u00f1a<\/strong>, is capturing the attention of meteorologists this <strong>July 2025<\/strong>. Despite a global trend of <strong>rising sea surface temperatures<\/strong>, this cooler-than-average patch of ocean has introduced an unpredictable variable to the <strong>2025 Atlantic hurricane season<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3><strong>What\u2019s happening with the Atlantic Ni\u00f1a<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>An <strong>Atlantic Ni\u00f1a<\/strong> refers to a <strong>persistent cooling of surface waters<\/strong> in the <strong>tropical Atlantic<\/strong>, particularly near the <strong>Gulf of Guinea<\/strong>. Unlike the more widely known <strong>El Ni\u00f1o<\/strong> or <strong>La Ni\u00f1a<\/strong>, which form in the <strong>Pacific Ocean<\/strong>, this phenomenon can cool portions of the <strong>eastern equatorial Atlantic<\/strong> by more than <strong>1\u00b0F (0.5\u00b0C)<\/strong> below average.<\/p>\n<p>Back in <strong>August 2024<\/strong>, the <strong>National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)<\/strong> first noted early signs of this cooling trend. By now, it&#8217;s become a distinct pattern, although many experts suggest it won\u2019t last long enough to reshape the entire season.<\/p>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3><strong>How cooler Atlantic waters influence hurricane formation<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>Cooler <strong>sea surface temperatures<\/strong> in the <strong>eastern Atlantic<\/strong>\u2014especially near <strong>West Africa<\/strong>\u2014tend to <strong>weaken the African monsoon<\/strong> and <strong>reduce the strength of easterly waves<\/strong>, which are key ingredients for hurricane formation. As <strong>Carl Schreck<\/strong>, senior research scholar at <strong>North Carolina State University<\/strong>, explains, these tropical disturbances are often the <strong>seeds of Atlantic hurricanes<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;An <strong>Atlantic Ni\u00f1a<\/strong> tends to weaken the <strong>monsoon<\/strong> and the <strong>easterly waves<\/strong> that fuel early tropical systems,&#8221; Schreck noted, highlighting its short-term <strong>dampening effect<\/strong> on hurricane activity.<\/p>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3><strong>Why experts expect this cooling to fade quickly<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>Despite its <strong>noticeable presence in recent weeks<\/strong>, meteorologists believe the <strong>Atlantic Ni\u00f1a<\/strong> is already <strong>losing strength<\/strong>. <strong>Ryan Truchelut<\/strong>, president of <strong>Weather Tiger<\/strong>, points to several red flags.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe&#8217;re already seeing <strong>weaker trade winds<\/strong>, and those <strong>sea surface temperatures<\/strong> are climbing fast,\u201d Truchelut said. \u201cIf the cooling were going to hold, we&#8217;d expect that <strong>cold anomaly<\/strong> to reach deeper levels\u2014<strong>25 to 50 meters<\/strong> below the surface. But it&#8217;s still <strong>warmer than normal<\/strong> at depth.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Truchelut predicts the Atlantic will <strong>flip back to warmer conditions<\/strong> within <strong>a month<\/strong>, allowing <strong>hurricane-fueling waters<\/strong> to return. Once that happens, the <strong>tropical waves<\/strong> emerging from the <strong>West African coast<\/strong> will face <strong>ideal conditions<\/strong> for <strong>intensification<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3><strong>The 2025 hurricane season could still be very active<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>Even with a <strong>slow start<\/strong>, the <strong>NOAA<\/strong> remains firm in its forecast: at least <strong>17 named storms<\/strong> are expected by the end of the <strong>2025 Atlantic hurricane season<\/strong>, and <strong>up to five<\/strong> of them may become <strong>major hurricanes<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>The reason? <strong>Exceptionally warm ocean waters<\/strong>. As <strong>sea temperatures rise<\/strong>, <strong>evaporation increases<\/strong>, filling the atmosphere with <strong>moisture<\/strong>. This leads to stronger <strong>cloud formation<\/strong>, more intense <strong>rainfall<\/strong>, and the potential for <strong>severe tropical storms<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>The <strong>temporary cooling<\/strong> from the <strong>Atlantic Ni\u00f1a<\/strong> may have <strong>delayed<\/strong> hurricane activity, but as <strong>conditions shift<\/strong>, the season is likely to ramp up quickly.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Florida<\/strong>, <strong>the Gulf Coast<\/strong>, and the <strong>Eastern Seaboard<\/strong> should remain alert, as <strong>warmer waters<\/strong> are known to <strong>supercharge storms<\/strong>, leading to <strong>more dangerous and erratic systems<\/strong> as the peak of hurricane season approaches.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>An unusual shift in the tropical Atlantic Ocean, known as an Atlantic Ni\u00f1a, is capturing the attention of meteorologists this July 2025. Despite a global trend of rising sea surface temperatures, this cooler-than-average patch of ocean has introduced an unpredictable variable to the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season. What\u2019s happening with the Atlantic Ni\u00f1a An Atlantic [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":6205,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6204","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-news"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Weather alert Florida: Atlantic Ni\u00f1a could shift hurricane outlook - United States - Weather America<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/weatheramerica.com\/us\/2025\/07\/18\/weather-alert-florida-atlantic-nina-could-shift-hurricane-outlook\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Weather alert Florida: Atlantic Ni\u00f1a could shift hurricane outlook - United States - Weather America\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"An unusual shift in the tropical Atlantic Ocean, known as an Atlantic Ni\u00f1a, is capturing the attention of meteorologists this July 2025. 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