A hot start to June across Alabama
Welcome to meteorological summer, which officially began on Sunday, June 1, bringing with it a strong signal of above-average heat for much of Alabama. While summer heat is nothing new in the Deep South, this year’s outlook from the NOAA Climate Prediction Center hints at even warmer-than-usual conditions.
Most of Alabama faces a 33 to 40 percent probability of above-normal temperatures throughout June, with extreme southern counties like those along the Gulf Coast seeing 40 to 50 percent odds. That means areas such as Mobile, Dothan, and Gulf Shores could experience more intense heat as the month progresses.
This forecast aligns with national trends. Most of the United States is looking at a hotter-than-usual start to summer, except for the central U.S., which holds equal chances of cooler or warmer temperatures, and Alaska, where below-average temperatures are likely.
What makes this summer “meteorological”?
Meteorologists divide the year into four seasons based on calendar months, making it easier to collect and compare climate data. That’s why meteorological summer runs from June 1 through August 31.
In contrast, astronomical summer, determined by Earth’s orbit, won’t begin until Friday, June 20, marked by the summer solstice, also known as the longest day of the year in terms of daylight.
A rainy pattern to persist — but not just yet
The precipitation outlook for June shows a 40 to 50 percent probability of above-average rainfall across the entire state. From Huntsville in the north to Montgomery in the center and Baldwin County in the south, residents should brace for continued wet conditions, at least statistically speaking.
But in the short term, things look drier. Aside from a few isolated showers in northern Alabama today, much of the state should enjoy relatively dry skies through midweek. However, rain chances are expected to increase starting Thursday, with higher humidity and unstable air likely returning.
A warmer, wetter season ahead
Looking further into the three-month summer period (June through August), the outlook continues to lean toward a season dominated by both heat and humidity. Most of Alabama holds a 40 to 50 percent probability of experiencing above-average temperatures and rainfall, indicating that air conditioning and umbrellas will both be in frequent use this summer.
Whether you’re on the Gulf Coast, in the Appalachian foothills, or somewhere in between, be prepared for a sultry Alabama summer with frequent showers and storms breaking up the heat.
